The Long Landing

The Long Landing is a long-running project about the next seventy-five years of climate change: what the hot branch of the IPCC’s scenarios would mean, decade by decade and place by place. New pieces are published in the Newsroom as they become ready. This page is the reference for what exists, what is under review, and what is planned. It updates automatically based on what has been published.

The timeline, published in August 2026, plays out a scenario from 2026 to 2100. It contains sixty-seven entries across five eras and six themes. Each follows the same chain — premise, cause, consequence, and conclusion — while the temperature and CO₂ levels implied by the scenario are drawn overhead as you scroll. It deliberately follows the hot branch: 2°C of warming in the mid-2030s, 3°C by mid-century, and about 4.4°C by 2100.

The globe puts the same clock on one Earth. Fifteen layers — climate zones, five kinds of heat, four aspects of water, staple crops, El Niño, sea temperature, livability, and permafrost — can be explored from 1901 to 2100. Each is built from public data and keyed to the same warming curve. The twenty-one cities featured in the series are also marked on the globe.

The city series brings the globe down to the local level, one city at a time — Paris first, followed by twenty more, from London to Tahiti. Each article presents figures established through research into that city.

Everything is built from established public sources: NASA’s NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 daily projections, Copernicus, WorldClim, WRI Aqueduct, FAO/IIASA GAEZ, NOAA, the Köppen–Geiger maps by Beck et al., ESA and AWI permafrost data, and WorldPop. Together, these sources amount to about 65 gigabytes of material, reduced to the frames shown on the globe.

The result is a data visualisation, not a new climate model. The methods and their limitations are explained at the bottom of each piece. Every piece also undergoes fact-checking and an adversarial review before publication.